Pedestrian simulation

Fire evacuation and crowd modelling for event capacity: Munro Pavilion, Sydney Showground

MunroWarehouse

Munro Pavilion, also known as Munro Warehouse, is a ~6,600 sqm event space at Sydney Showground. Originally built as livestock exhibition space for the Sydney Royal Easter Show, its industrial character has made it a distinctive setting for concerts, festivals, product launches and film shoots, including Boiler Room's Sydney sessions in recent years. But a building that wasn’t designed with the intention of holding large crowds or entertainment use brings its own technical challenges, and with demand from promoters continuing to grow, Sydney Showground asked DC Partnership to investigate the venue's event capacity, looking closely at crowd density, life safety and fire performance. 

The CrowdEx and Fire Safety Engineering teams ran a combined study, pairing fire and smoke modelling with dynamic crowd simulation to understand how patrons would move and evacuate under different crowd populations. Rather than relying on standard evacuation assumptions, they modelled human behaviour responses, including how quickly and in what order patrons would respond to a fire depending on their proximity to it. 

The outcome from the study gives Sydney Showground a clear, evidence-base of how crowd and fire behaviour interact at different capacities, supporting internal decision-making and conversations with promoters about hosting bigger events at the venue, backed by a recommendation for further operational and risk-based analysis before any capacity increase is confirmed. 

Combining fire safety and crowd simulation

The study brought together two complementary streams: fire and smoke modelling in PyroSim Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), and dynamic crowd modelling in Oasys MassMotion. By linking these workstreams, DC Partnership could explore how fire conditions, route availability and crowd movement interact during an evacuation. MassMotion agents were configured to reflect realistic crowd behaviours, including hesitation, delayed response and phased evacuation. 

Modelling realistic evacuation behaviour

MassMotion was used to simulate patron movement, crowd densities and evacuation performance across different crowd population sizes. Instead of relying only on standard evacuation benchmarks, the team modelled behavioural factors such as proximity-based decision-making. Agents closest to the fire began evacuating first, with others responding as conditions developed, rather than assuming every patron would move as soon as an alarm sounded. FDS outputs showing when evacuation routes became untenable due to smoke and heat were input directly into the MassMotion model, allowing the crowd simulations to reflect changing route availability based on actual fire conditions. 

MunroWarehouse
MunroWarehouse
MunroWarehouse

Understanding capacity through evidence

This integrated approach gave the client a more rigorous understanding of evacuation performance than fire modelling or crowd simulation could deliver alone. It showed not only whether occupants could leave the building in time, but also how route availability, crowd density and human behaviour interact at different event capacities. 

The study was not intended to define a single capacity figure for Sydney Showground. Instead, it provided an evidence base to support internal decision-making and conversations with promoters, alongside a recommendation that further operational and risk-based analysis should be carried out before any higher-capacity events are approved. 

Client feedback

"DC Partnership's CrowdEx and Fire Safety Engineering teams delivered a brilliant piece of work helping us unlock a deeper understanding of capacity and evacuation planning at Munro Warehouse, Sydney Showgrounds. Olivia and Tony took the time to understand the distinct challenges that come with hosting unique and popular events in a warehouse event space, going beyond standard crowd and fire evacuation modelling methodologies to provide tailored recommendations for capacity planning. Their expertise and creative approach gave us real confidence in how we manage and plan events at the venue. We wouldn't hesitate to work with them again!" – Mel Goodman, Head of Events and Venue Operations, at Sydney Showground. 

A combined approach to safer event planning

The Munro Warehouse study demonstrates how combining FDS fire and smoke modelling with MassMotion’s agent-based crowd simulation can support safer, evidence-led event planning. By moving beyond standard assumptions, this approach captures how people are likely to move and respond in an emergency, helping venue operators make more informed decisions about evacuation planning and future event capacity. 

We’d like to thank MassMotion champions and pedestrian simulation experts, Olivia Yee and Tony Nichol, as well as Fire Safety Engineer, Bernabe Zaragoza Solis, from DC Partnership’s CrowdEx and Fire Safety Engineering teams for sharing this work with us. 

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